Monday 26 September 2011

Ideal pool requires no subsidy (#790)


The ideal aquatic centre would balance user income and operating expenditure so that it required no subsidy from ratepayers, some of whom will probably not use a pool themselves.  A similar comment applies to the Visitor Centre.  But in both cases we should note that non-users still derive a benefit that, although indirect, arises from an improvement to the fabric of the community.  In the case of recreation this is reflected in overall improvements in health and fitness across the entire spectrum of ages.  In the case of tourism all residents benefit from a sound business community that can rely on large visitor numbers in summer to balance the winter lows when many locals flee to warmer climes.
Let’s agree therefore that a ratepayer subsidy is required to balance the books for an aquatic centre.  What should be the user contribution and how should we estimate the number of people that would use it?  The CCA model selects a sample of several existing facilities and divides the annual number of visits by the population of the Local Government Area (LGA).
The approach is flawed.  Beatty Park attracts 955,000 visits annually and has an LGA population of 30,000 i.e. 32 visits per annum per head.  If we used such an optimistic visitation rate for a 6-lane pool in Denmark, the pool would produce a profit of roughly $500k per annum rather than the suggested deficit reported in Bulletin #389!
But Shire boundaries do not have any impact on the decision to go for a swim.  It is proximity and ease of access that matters.  A Walpole resident has the choice of public pools in Manjimup (119km) or Albany (119km) and would surely be more likely to swim in Denmark (66km) than either of these.  Clearly, as for rainwater resources, it is catchment that counts – not political boundaries.
Beatty Park’s catchment population is estimated to be 100,000 – giving a visitation rate of 9.6 per annum per head.  This more modest rate applied in Denmark would correspond to an annual deficit of $170k – about the same as the Visitor Centre.  The break-even point requires a rate of about 15 visits per annum per head.
It’s hard to extract good rate estimates from the swimming pool industry because most aquatic facilities include significant ‘dry-side’ activity.  Separate wet-side statistics are generally not available.  The CCA model ignores this problem when it suggests visitation rates between 6 and 12 (recommending 9 as “reasonable”) for Denmark.
In order to fulfil its responsibilities to Council (i.e. to provide Council with the best possible information platform upon which a decision on how to proceed may be based) estimates that are so critical to financial sustainability must be thoroughly tested by the Project Team.

Cyril Edwards, DACCI, denmarkpool@gmail.com and http://www.denmarkpool.blogspot.com.


The Manjimup Aquatic Centre has a particularly pleasant, sunlight ambience – largely due to its Hoecker roof.  This air-filled fabric design is claimed to have excellent UV resistance and permits large lightweight spans as shown here.  The main 25m pool has 8-lanes and was once part of Manjimup’s 50m outdoor pool.  

Saturday 10 September 2011

Feasibility tasks set to proceed (#789)

At its meeting on 23 August, Council voted 8:3 in favour of completing the due process which will ultimately enable Council and the community to determine whether or not an Aquatic Centre in Denmark is feasible.  The joint Council/DACCI Project Team had reported in April that there was not enough information available for Council to make an informed decision to proceed or otherwise and it identified those issues requiring further study (i.e. it provided a ‘job list’). 

The Council Resolution sets three key dates.  First the Director of Finance will be asked to comment on and assess the financial models, scenarios, assumptions and projections contained in the CCA Report and the Interim Report of the Project Team and the implications for Council’s future budgets and long term financial planning,  The director will report back to the Project Team by no later than 30 November 2011.  He will also be asked to convene a risk analysis seminar no later than 31 October 2011.  The need for risk analysis has been stressed by the Department of Sport and Recreation and in the Interim Report’s ‘job list’ of unfinished business.

Finally, by no later than 28 February 2012, the Project team will be invited to report back to Council on its assessment of the Director of Finance’s assessment and the risk analysis exercise. This will also be the time to report on progress in addressing the outstanding issues already identified in the April job list and its recommendations on how to deal with any remaining problems.  At this time, the Project Team will be expected to comment on its progress towards recommending  “a decision to implement, amend, postpone, stage development or abandon the proposal”.

Clearly, whenever such a recommendation is made, it will be a new Council charged with the decision.  Nominations to this new Council close at 4pm today and voting packages will be posted next Thursday.  The poll closes on Saturday 15th October.

With this in mind, DACCI urges all those with an interest in the Aquatic Centre to discuss the issue with their candidates.  From this perspective, all that can be asked is that the twelve members of the new council will make evidence based decisions rather than exercise their preconceptions. It was reassuring to see that, in its vote on 23 August, the outgoing Council scored well in this regard since 8 out of 11 voted for the evidence based approach.

Caption:  The Leisure Pool at the Hobart Aquatic Centre operates at close to ambient temperature to optimise energy use.  The shallow entry Toddler’s Pool in the foreground varies in depth from zero to 1.2m and leads into the side of a six-lane Lap Pool 1.0 to 1.4m deep running left to right.  The green plastic frog shown here in rear view, allows even the smallest kids to climb safely and be disgorged down its tongue into the water. 


Cyril Edwards, DACCI, denmarkpool@gmail.com and http://www.denmarkpool.blogspot.com.